The Impact of Electricity Rationing on Phosphorus Chemicals and Market Outlook in China

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Publish time: 22nd November, 2021      Source: CCM
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  Affected by factors such as tight electricity supply and dual control policies on energy consumption & energy intensity, many provinces in China have adopted electricity rationing measures to suspend or restrict industrial production since September this year. According to incomplete statistics, at least 15 provinces have rolled out electricity rationing measures, and most of the rationing measures take aim at energy-intensive industries. Some provinces have encountered great interruptions to normal production and operation in enterprises there. As a result, output of some products has drastically reduced, leading to soaring prices.


Meanwhile, prices of coal, natural gas and other energy sources, as well as bulk chemicals such as methanol, caustic soda, acetic acid, and potassium chloride have hit record highs over and over again in China. Even though the government issued a notice on ensuring supply and stabilizing price, their prices have still stayed high.

In this context, this report is compiled, delving into the impacts on electricity rationing in China. Covering aspects are:
- Reasons for the electricity rationing
- The output and operating rate of phosphorus chemicals
- The capacity and output of major producers
- Price analysis
- Production costs analysis

  - Market outlook

  

  

  

  Main contents:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            
        No.                Content                
        

      
        
      
         Methodology                
      
        
      
         Executive summary                
      
         1                 Background                
      
         2                 The impact on the phosphorus chemicals                
      
         2.1                 Yellow phosphorus                
      
         2.1.1                 Production situation                
      
         2.1.2                 Price analysis                
      
         2.2                 Phosphoric acid                
      
         2.2.1                 Production situation                
      
         2.2.2                 Price analysis                
      
         2.3                 Phosphate fertilisers                
      
         2.3.1                 Production situation                
      
         2.3.2                 Price analysis                
      
         2.4                 Phosphorus trichloride & Phosphorus oxychloride                
      
         2.4.1                 Production situation                
      
         2.4.2                 Price analysis                
      
         3                 Market outlook       

  

  

  

  List of tables:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     
        Table No.                Table Title       
         Table 1-1                 Electricity rationing measures in major provinces producing phosphorus chemicals       
         Table 2.1.1-1                 Production of major producers of yellow phosphorus in China, as of Oct. 2021       
         Table 2.1.2-1                 Estimated raw material and energy costs of yellow phosphorus production       
         Table 2.1.2-2                 Proportion of costs of yellow phosphorus in China in September 2021       
         Table 2.2.1-1                 Production of major PA producers in China, as of Oct. 2021       
         Table 2.3.1-1                 Production of major MAP producers in China, as of Oct. 2021       
         Table 2.3.1-2                 Production of major DAP producers in China, as of Oct. 2021       
         Table 2.3.2-1                 Phosphate fertilisers subject to import & export inspection       
         Table 2.4.1-1                 Production of major producers of phosphorus trichloride in China, as of Oct. 2021       
         Table 2.4.1-2                 Production of major producer of phosphorus oxychloride in China, as of Oct. 2021       
         Table 2.4.2-1                 Estimated raw material costs of phosphorus trichloride, Aug.–Oct. 2021       

  

  

  

  List of figures:

                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                             
        Figure No.                Figure Title       
         Figure 2.1.1-1                 Monthly output and operating rate of yellow phosphorus in China, Aug.–Oct. 2021       
         Figure 2.1.2-1                 Ex-works price of yellow phosphorus in China, Aug.–Oct. 2021       
         Figure 2.2.2-1                 Monthly ex-works price of 85% industrial grade PA, Aug.–Oct. 2021       
         Figure 2.2.2-2                 Monthly ex-works price of food grade PA, Aug.–Oct. 2021       
         Figure 2.3.2-1                 Monthly ex-works price of MAP, Aug.–Oct. 2021       
         Figure 2.3.2-2                 Monthly ex-works price of DAP, Aug.–Oct. 2021       
         Figure 2.4.1-1                 Output and operating rate of phosphorus trichloride in China, Aug.–Oct. 2021       
         Figure 2.4.1-2                 Output and operating rate of phosphorus oxychloride in China, Aug.–Oct. 2021       
         Figure 2.4.2-1                 Ex-works price of phosphorus trichloride in China, Aug.–Oct. 2021       
         Figure 2.4.2-2                 Ex-works price of phosphorus oxychloride in China, Aug.–Oct. 2021       

  

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